IOWA CITY, Iowa — Iowa defensive end Joe Evans spent six years defying the odds.
After one season as a walk-on linebacker, he switched positions, earned a scholarship in 2020, shared the team lead for sacks in 2021 and 2022, returned this year as a team captain and wound up earning third-team all-conference honors.
It's been quite a ride for the Hawkeyes vocal leader, and Evans believes he can help No. 16 Iowa exceed expectations once more Saturday when his team plays No. 2 Michigan for the Big Ten championship.
“We love that narrative of being the underdog,” Evans said. “I don't think anybody thought we were going to be in this situation after we lost 31-0 at Penn State. I said, ‘You know, we still have all of our goals in front of us. We can still win the Big Ten West and we can win the Big Ten championship.’ I know a lot of people kind of laughed at that, so we love being the underdog.”
The Hawkeyes (10-2, No. 16 CFP) certainly fit the model this week, winning the Big Ten West despite losing their starting quarterback against Penn State, changing kickers in their regular-season finale and unable to top the 20-point mark six times in their final eight games.
Michigan (12-0, No. 2 CFP), on the other hand, looks virtually unbeatable.
Two weeks after celebrating the program's 1,000th win and one week after beating rival Ohio State for the third straight time, the Wolverines are chasing a school first — their third straight outright league title — and a second straight playoff bid.
How good are the Wolverines? They've won a school record 24 consecutive conference games, lead the nation in scoring defense (10.3) and have J.J. McCarthy and Blake Corum, the Big Ten's quarterback and running back of the year.
The result: Michigan enters the game in Indianapolis as a 22 1/2-point favorite in a contest where the over-under is 34 1/2 points, according to FanDuel Sportsbook.
Still, the Wolverines will take nothing for granted, even as coach Jim Harbaugh returns to the sideline following his second three-game suspension of this season, this one for allegedly stealing signs.
“It gets the hair sticking up on my arms, gets me ready to run through a wall,” Corum said, referring to Harbaugh's presence. “I’ve definitely missed hearing that.”
Two years ago, the Hawkeyes faced a similar predicament when they last met the heavily-favored Wolverines in Indianapolis. Michigan won that title game 42-3 and Evans hasn't forgotten anything about that game.
It's an experience he and his teammates don't want to relive this weekend, even if nobody else believes in the Hawkeyes.
“We all remember at the facility how we much we lost that game by,” Evans said. “Being the captain, it's my duty and my job to let the guys know what that felt like, coming off the field losing by 39 points. And another thing is to make sure the guys understand we're there to win a football game.”
AT A GLANCE
- No. 2 Michigan (12-0, 9-0 Big Ten, No. 2 CFP) vs. No. 18 Iowa (10-2, 7-2, No. 16), Saturday, 8 p.m. EST, in Indianapolis (Fox)
- Line: Michigan by 22½, according to FanDuel Sportsbook.
- Series record: Michigan leads 44-15-4.
KEY MATCHUP
Iowa's rushing offense vs. Michigan's rushing defense. The Hawkeyes will try to play the field-position game like they also do, but time of possession could loom large. Iowa leads the nation in three-and-outs, according to Sportradar, and will need its rotating crew of running backs to dent a defense allowing just 3.0 yards per carry. Leshon Williams regained his stride against Nebraska last week, finishing with 111 yards and breaking a long one to set up the winning field goal.
PLAYERS TO WATCH
Michigan: RB Blake Corum. He has run for a single-season, school-record 22 touchdowns. A year ago, he watched the Wolverines play in the Big Ten championship game from a California hotel room after having knee surgery.
Iowa: QB Deacon Hill. He completed better than 60% of his passes in the three games before he went 11 for 28 in last week's win at Nebraska. That won't do if the Hawkeyes hope to be competitive.
FACTS & FIGURES
- The East representative is 9-0 in the championship game since the Big Ten went to its current divisional alignment in 2014. There will be no divisions beginning next year when the league expands to 18 teams.
- Michigan is a victory away from a Big Ten-high 45th conference championship, and a third straight title for the first time since winning five straight from 1988 to 1992.
- Iowa is in the title game for the third time since 2015.
- The Wolverines are giving up a FBS-low 10.25 points per game and rank 13th with 37.6 points per game.
- QB J.J. McCarthy is 24-1 as a starter.
- Iowa’s 216 points this season are fewest by a 10-win team since at least 2000, according to Sportradar.